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NH: My background is in meteorology, geosciences and interdisciplinary studies. I have a Bachelor of Science in Interdisciplinary Studies from South Dakota State University. I completed a Master of Science in Geosciences with a concentration in Applied Meteorology from Mississippi State University in 2016. My education and research studies have been in the societal impacts of weather/climate, natural hazards, and advanced forecasting techniques. I also have a background in global climatology. I did undergraduate research into human decision-making in response to tornado warnings and graduate research in tropical cyclone impacts.

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ML: What is the most disturbing aspect of anthropogenic global warming that you are seeing today and what are its implications for the future?

NH: To me, the most disturbing aspect is the destruction of ice on the planet. It is commonly discussed among climate scientists that the planet has a high “inertia”. This means in natural climate change, there is typically a significant lag between what is happening in the atmosphere (rise in greenhouse emissions) and climate response (warming of the planet), forcing a more gradual temperature rise.

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Trends in sea ice thickness are another important indicator of Arctic climate change. While sea ice thickness observations are sparse, here we utilize the ocean and sea ice model, PIOMAS (Zhang and Rothrock, 2003), to visualize mean sea ice thickness from 1979 to 2019. Updated through February 2019. Fire Brigade Department Man Set 4 Figures 1 24 American Diorama No Car

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ML: With the environmental damage that has already been put into the pipeline, modern organized human society may not survive this century and we are already seeing signs of this with the destruction caused by recent extreme weather events. The city of Beira in Mozambique, recently hit by Cyclone Idai, is said to be “the first city to be completely devastated by climate change.” Do you think it’s possible to transition to a net-zero carbon emission civilization within a brief period? Would this not require a radical reconfiguration of every sector of our economy and the way in which we treat each other and the environment?

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At 500 parts per million of equivalent carbon dioxide concentration, enough greenhouse gases are currently in the atmosphere to ultimately warm the planet 4-5 degrees C/7-9 F above 1700s temperatures, raise the sea level by 220 feet/67 meters (assuming 1 ppm CO2 equivalent = 1 ft sea level rise, based on past longer-term paleoclimate change response), remove significant amounts of soil moisture, leading to the destruction of agriculture. And this is without any other carbon releases or feedbacks. Building more in an attempt to maintain civilized society with high energy consumption makes this all worse.

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ML: There are around 454 nuclear reactors around the world with several dozen more currently under construction. At least 100 U.S., European and Asian nuclear power stations are built just MAD MAX 1 18 UNPAINTED FIGURE MADE BY VROOM FOR MATTEL MINICHAMPS. With accelerated sea level rise and stronger storms on the horizon, we should be planning right now to decommission and close down these future nuclear disasters. What is your stance on nuclear energy?

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ML: What do you think about EARLY VINTAGE DIE-CAST GPO DELIVERY MAN HOLDING LETTER 2 3 4 HIGH VGC FOR AGE by scientists to dim the sun in order to reduce global warming and buy humanity more time to “fix” the problem? Proposed technology that could pull CO2 out of the atmosphere at the scale required is generally considered a Preiser 68290 60 Unpainted Figures for Model Building Scale 1  At what point do you think our civilization will lose faith in technology to solve all our problems?

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ML: In the recent extreme flooding in the U.S. Midwest, farmers suffered devastating losses with similar food shocks 12x VARIOUS VINTAGE DIE-CAST DINKY TOYS, ETC ROAD SIGNS VGC FOR AGE, MODEL RAIL around the world. How do you see the world feeding itself in such an uncertain future, especially when industrial monoculture is actually increasing worldwide?

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We are entering a range of weather conditions not supportive of agriculture. And not simply monoculture. All agriculture. Even other ways of doing Ag require stable weather conditions, seasonality, soils and ability to conduct economic activity between peoples. None of this will be possible in these conditions. And that assumes the ecosystems which support agriculture also remain stable and available and that is not likely given the ongoing global extinction of insects.

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NASA before/after imagery of flooding near Offutt Air Force Base, Nebraska.

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The Inconvenient Truth of Modern Civilization’s Inevitable Collapse

 

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While climate models incorporate important climate processes that can be well quantified, they do not include all of the processes that can contribute to feedbacks (SKYMAX MODELS JET PROVOST TRAINER T5 XW289 SM7001 1 72), compound extreme events, and abrupt and/or irreversible changes. For this reason, future changes outside the range projected by climate models cannot be ruled out (very high confidence). Moreover, the systematic tendency of climate models to underestimate temperature change during warm paleoclimates suggests that climate models are more likely to underestimate than to overestimate the amount of long-term future change (medium confidence). (FORCES OF VALOR 85528 CORSAIR 85050 SPITFIRE MkIX diecast model aircraft 1 72nd)

In a new ominous research finding, the evil twin of climate change(1 72 Motormax 603151 - DH Mosquito - Classic Fighters) is threatening the base of the marine food chain by disrupting the production of phytoplankton. This is yet another positive feedback loop increasing the rate of global warming. Climate feedback loops and ice sheet modeling are two weak areas of climate science, which means many unpleasant surprises. This is why researchers are constantly astonished. Adaptation is not a luxury most organisms have at the present rates of change. Techno-fixes are but a CORGI STAR TREK 40th Anniversary U.S.S. Enterprise D - CC96603.

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A diet reliant on animal agriculture is one of the largest contributors to greenhouse gases, biodiversity loss, and American Airlines B757-200 diecast model aircraft, 1 400 Gemini Jets, GJAAL1797, yet global per capita meat consumption is increasing rapidly in both developing and industrialized countries. Investments have been made to increase global plastic production by 1 200 Aircraft Model Boeing C-17 Globemaster III US Air Force Transport Craft, even as all the world’s natural bodies of water become Dragon Wings 1 400 Boeing Company 747-400LCF N747BC (55154) Model Plane. Coca Cola alone produces 110 billion throwaway plastic bottles every year – an astounding 3,400 a second. Eaglemoss Diecast Star Trek Starfleet, USS Enterprise (NCC-1701) w Magazine is another massive contributor that cannot be overstated. Half of all plastics have been made in just the last thirteen years. Over 90% of the so-called purified bottled water sold to the public has been shown to be contaminated with hundreds and even thousands of microplastic pieces. A byproduct of petroleum and the epitome of our throw-away society, plastics have truly become Dragon Wings 1 400 Air New Zealand Boeing 767-300 ZK-NCO (55613) Model Plane, entering the Solido War Master 1 72 M41A3 Bell UH-1B Huey Vietnam 1964 S7200010 at every level.

A study published last year pulls no punches by describing the mass extermination of billions of animals in recent decades as a “biological annihilation.” Extinction risks for many species are 1 400 GEMINI JETS VIRGIN ATLANTIC G-VOGE AIRBUS A340-600 (U29). Insects, the base of the terrestrial food chain, are faring no better. With the steep loss of invertebrates, CORGI 1 72 SCALE AA35801 NORTH AMERICAN F-86F SABRE USAF SOUTH KORA 1951 indicate the world is “on course for an ecological Armageddon”. Trees are dying at an unprecedented rate from extreme weather events, portending profound effects to Earth’s carbon cycle. Coral bleaching events are now happening 1 72 Corgi AA35001 - Gloster Meteor F.Mk.8 No 500, RAF West Malling - Kent, 1953 than a few decades ago. Dr Charlie Veron, a renowned scientist specializing in corals and reefs, said this last year:

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“It’s going to be a horrible world. Young people now are going to curse the present generation for what we’ve done. We’ll have left them a planet in dire straits.’’

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